Description

Mehran et al developed a score for predicting the risk of major bleeding in a patient receiving antithrombotic therapy for the acute coronary syndrome (ACS). The authors are from Columbia University, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Hospital Corporation of America, New York University, Duke University, Benjamin Franklin University Medicine Berlin, and Ospedali Riuniti de Bergamo.


Patient selection: acute coronary syndrome treated with either heparin plus a glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitor or bivalirudin

 

Major bleeding included:

(1) intracranial or intraocular bleeding

(2) access site hemorrhage requiring intervention

(3) drop in hemoglobin >= 4 g/dL without an overt bleeding site

(4) drop in hemoglobin >= 3 g/dL with an overt bleeding site

(5) reoperation for bleeding

(6) need for blood product transfusion

 

Parameters:

(1) gender

(2) age in years

(3) serum creatinine in mg/dL

(4) white blood cell count per µL

(5) anemia

(6) presentation

(7) antithrombotic medication

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

gender

male

0

 

female

8

age in years

< 50 years

0

 

50 to 59 years

3

 

60 to 69 years

6

 

70 to 79 years

9

 

>= 80 years of age

12

serum creatinine

< 1.0 mg/dL

0

 

1.0 to 1.19 mg/dL

2

 

1.2 to 1.39 mg/dL

3

 

1.4 to 1.59 mg/dL

5

 

1.6 to 1.79 mg/dL

6

 

1.80 to 1.99 mg/dL

8

 

>= 2.0 mg/dL

10

WBC count

< 10,000 per µL

0

 

10,000 to 11,999 per µL

2

 

12,000 to 13,999 per µL

3

 

14,000 to 15,999 per µL

4

 

16,000 to 17,999 per µL

6

 

18,000 to 19,999 per µL

8

 

>= 20,000 per µL

10

anemia

no

0

 

yes

6

presentation

STEMI

6

 

NSTEMI with raised biomarkers

2

 

NSTEMI with normal biomarkers

0

antithrombotic medication

bivalirudin monotherapy

-5

 

heparin plus GPI

0

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all 7 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: -5

• maximum score: 42

• The higher the score the greater the risk of major bleeding.

 

Total Score

Risk for Major Bleeding within 30 Days

< 10

low (<= 2.8%)

10 to 14

moderate

15 to 19

high

>= 20

very high (>= 8.0%)

 

If the data in Figure 2 is analyzed:

 

Total Score

Risk of Major Bleeding

0 to 20

(0.01629 * ((score)^2)) + (0.01629 * (score)) + 0.9743

20 to 42

(0.05257 * ((score)^2)) - (1.374 * (score)) + 14.37

 


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