Bare et al reported the CCR-CARESS score for predicting mortality following surgery for colorectal cancer. This can help to identify a patient with a high short-term mortality rate. The authors are from multiple institutions in Spain.
Patient selection: surgery for colorectal cancer (Stage III in 33%; Stage IV in 10%)
Outcome: 30-day mortality
Parameters:
(1) age in years
(2) COPD
(3) palliative surgery (versus curative)
Parameter
Finding
Points
age in years
< 80 years
0
>= 80 years
1
COPD
no
0
yes
1.5
palliative surgery
no
0
yes
2.5
total score =
= SUM(points for all 3 parameters)
Interpretation:
• minimum score: 0
• maximum score: 5
• The higher the score the greater the 30-day mortality.
Total Score
Risk Group
30-Day Mortality
0
low
0.6%
1 to 1.5
moderate
2%
2.5 to 3.5
high
9%
4 to 5
very high
24%
Performance:
• The area under the ROC curve is 0.79 for the derivation cohort and 0.81.
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