Balkau et al reported scores for the risk of being diagnosed with diabetes in the future. These can help to identify a patient who should be screened more closely. The authors are from multiple institutions in France.
Patient selection: French adult
Parameters:
(1) sex
(2) waist circumference
(3) current smoker
(4) hypertension
(5) family history of diabetes
Score for a Man
Parameter
Finding
Points
waist circumference
< 80 cm
0
80 to 89 cm
1
90 to 99 cm
2
>= 100 cm
3
current smoker
no
0
yes
1
hypertension
no
0
yes
1
Score for a Woman
Parameter
Finding
Points
waist circumference
< 70 cm
0
70 to 79 cm
1
80 to 89 cm
2
>= 90 cm
3
diabetes in family
no
0
yes
1
hypertension
no
0
yes
1
score =
= SUM(points for all of the parameters)
Interpretation:
• minimum score: 0
• maximum score: 5
• A score of 5 indicates a > 30% chance of developing diabetes in the next 9 years.
Performance:
• The area under the ROC curve is 0.71 for the male and 0.83 for the female scores.
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