Description

Li et al reported comorbidity indices for patients undergoing repair of abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA). One model is for endovascular repair and another is for an open procedure. The authors are from George Washington University in Washington D.C.


Patient selection: abdominal aortic aneurysm endovascular repair

 

Parameters:

(1) acquired immune deficiency syndrome

(2) alcohol abuse

(3) autoimmune condition

(4) lymphoma

(5) leukemia

(6) malignant solid tumor

(7) cerebrovascular accident

(8) dementia

(9) diabetes

(10) drug abuse

(11) hypertension

(12) liver disease

(13) chronic pulmonary disease

(14) obesity

(15) paralysis

(16) peripheral vascular disease

(17) renal failure

(18) hypothyroidism

(19) other thyroid disorders

(20) valvular disease

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

acquired immune deficiency

no

0

 

yes

3

alcohol abuse

no

0

 

yes

9

autoimmune condition

no

0

 

yes

5

lymphoma

no

0

 

yes

17

leukemia

no

0

 

yes

-12

malignant solid tumor

no

0

 

in situ

0

 

without metastasis

1

 

with metastasis

-4

cerebrovascular disease

no

0

 

yes

16

dementia

no

0

 

yes

8

depression

no

0

 

yes

-10

diabetes

no

0

 

without chronic complication

2

 

with chronic complication

-10

drug abuse

no

0

 

yes

-25

hypertension

no

0

 

uncomplicated

-16

 

complicated

-4

liver disease

no

0

 

mild

0

 

moderate or severe

31

chronic pulmonary disease

no

0

 

yes

0

obesity

no

0

 

yes

-2

paralysis

no

0

 

yes

-16

peripheral vascular disease

no

0

 

yes

5

renal failure

no

0

 

mild or moderate

0

 

severe

13

hypothyroidism

no

0

 

yes

-1

other thyroid disease

no

0

 

yes

8

valvular disease

no

0

 

yes

-7

 

total EVAR comorbidity index =

= SUM(points for all of the parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum index: -103

• maximum index: 118

 

value of X =

= (0.051 * (EVAR comorbidity index)) - 3.456

 

in-hospital mortality =

= 1 / (1 + EXP((-1) * X))

 

Performance:

• The area under the ROC curve is 0.64.


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