Description

Niewoehner et al developed a score for predicting hospitalization in a patient with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). This can help identify a patient who may require more aggressive management. The authors are from multiple Veterans Affairs hospitals across the United States.


Parameters:

(1) age in years

(2) observed FEV1 as percent of predicted FEV1

(3) oral steroid therapy at entry

(4) cardiovascular comorbidity

(5) number of unscheduled outpatient visits (clinic or ED) for COPD in prior year

(6) number of hospital admissions for COPD in prior year

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

age in years

< 70 years of age

0

 

70 to 74 years

12

 

75 to 79 years

23

 

80 to 84 years

35

 

>= 85 years

46

FEV1 as percent of predicted

10 to 19%

89

 

20 to 29%

78

 

30 to 39%

67

 

40 to 49%

56

 

50 to 59%

44

 

60 to 69%

33

 

>= 70%

0

oral steroid therapy at entry

absent

0

 

present

22

cardiovascular comorbidity

none

0

 

one or more

28

unscheduled outpatient visits

0

0

 

1

3

 

>= 2

24

number of hospital admissions for COPD

0

0

 

1 or more

40

 

where:

• An FEV1 < 10% of predicted is probably incompatible with life. An FEV1 >= 70% of predicted can be handled in several ways. For the implementation I set it to 0.

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all 6 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 249

• The higher the score the greater the risk of being hospitalized for the COPD.

 

Total Score

Percent of Patients Hospitalized Within The Next 6 Months

< 75

< 3%

75 to 225

(0.00375 * ((points)^2)) - (0.6443 * (points)) + 31.03

> 225

> 77%

 


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