Description

Bristow et al evaluated women with advanced ovarian carcinoma using computed tomography (CT) scans of the abdomen and pelvis. They developed an index that could identify the likely outcome for a woman undergoing primary cytoreductive surgery. The authors are from the Johns Hopkins and Massachusetts General Hospitals.


 

Patients: Stage III or IV epithelial ovarian carcinoma

 

Parameters (14, with 13 from CT scan findings):

(1) peritoneal thickness (*)

(2) peritoneal implants (*)

(3) small bowel mesentery (*)

(4) large bowel mesentery (*)

(5) omentum (*)

(6) pelvic involvement (*)

(7) ascites

(8) Gynecologic Oncology Group (GOG) Performance Status

(9) suprarenal para-aortic lymph nodes (*)

(10) diaphragm or lung base

(11) inguinal canal

(12) liver

(13) porta hepatitis or gallbladder fossa

(14) infrarenal para-aortic lymph nodes

 

(*) items most strongly associated with surgical outcome

Parameter

Finding

Points

peritoneal thickening

yes

2

 

no

0

peritoneal implants

>= 2 cm

2

 

< 2 cm

0

small bowel mesentery disease

>= 2 cm

2

 

< 2 cm

0

large bowel mesentery disease

>= 2 cm

2

 

< 2 cm

0

omentum

extension into stomach, spleen or lesser sac

2

 

no extension

0

pelvis

extension to pelvic sidewall, parametria, or hydroureter

2

 

no extension

0

ascites

large volume (see on all CT cuts)

2

 

none to moderate

0

GOG Performance Status

>= 2

2

 

< 2

0

suprarenal para-aortic lymph nodes

>= 1 cm

2

 

< 1 cm

0

diaphragm or lung base

>= 2 cm, or confluent plaque

1

 

< 2 cm and no plaque

0

inguinal canal

inguinal canal disease or lymph nodes >= 2 cm

1

 

no inguinal canal disease and nodes < 2 cm

0

liver

surface nodule >= 2 cm or any size parenchymal nodule

1

 

surface nodules < 2 cm and no parenchymal nodules

0

porta hepatis or gallbladder fossa

>= 1 cm

1

 

< 1 cm

0

infrarenal para-aortic lymph nodes

>= 2 cm

1

 

< 2 cm

0

 

predictive index =

= SUM(points for all 14 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 23

• An index < 4 indicates that the patient will have an optimal outcome from primary cytoreductive surgery.

• Women with a predictive index >= 4 are unlikely to have optimal primary cytoreductive surgery.

 

Performance:

• The performance characteristics of various cut-off points (from 1 to 10) for the index are given in Table 2, page 1538.

• For a cutoff of >= 4, the sensitivity is 100%, specificity 85%, positive predictive value 87.5%, negative predictive value 100%, accuracy 92.7%. No women would undergo unnecessary exploration, but 15% of women classed as unresectable would have residual disease <= 1 cm (inappropriately unexplored).

 


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