Description

Mathew et al developed a risk index for predicting atrial fibrillation following surgery. This can help identify patients who may require more aggressive monitoring and therapy. The authors are from the Investigators of the Ischemia Research and Education Foundation and the Multicenter Study of Perioperative Ischemia Research Group.


Parameters:

(1) age of the patient in years

(2) history of atrial fibrillation

(3) history of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD)

(4) concurrent valve surgery

(5) ACE inhibitor therapy

(5A) withdrawal

(5B) pre- and post-operative therapy

(6) beta-blocker therapy

(6A) withdrawal

(6B) pre- and post-operative therapy

(6C) postoperative

(7) potassium supplementation

(8) NSAID therapy

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

age of the patient

< 30 years

6

 

30 – 39 years

12

 

40 – 49 years

18

 

50 – 59 years

24

 

60 – 69 years

30

 

70 – 79 years

36

 

>= 80 years

42

history of atrial fibrillation

no

0

 

yes

7

history of COPD

no

0

 

yes

4

concurrent valve surgery

no

0

 

yes

6

ACE inhibitor therapy

none

0

 

withdrawn

5

 

pre- and post-operative

-5

beta-blocker therapy

none

0

 

withdrawn

6

 

pre- and post-operative

-7

 

post-operative

-11

potassium supplementation

no

0

 

yes

-5

NSAIDS

no

0

 

yes

-7

 

total index =

= SUM(points for all of the parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: -17

• maximum score: 70

• The higher the score the greater the risk for recurrence of atrial fibrillation.

 

Index

Risk

<= 13

low

14 – 31

medium

>= 32

high

 


To read more or access our algorithms and calculators, please log in or register.