Description

The probability of death following acetaminophen poisoning can be estimated from clinical and laboratory data.


Parameters:

(1) grade of encephalopathy

(2) prothrombin time

(3) serum creatinine

(4) white blood cell count

(5) serum potassium

 

Parameter

Value

grade of encephalopathy

2.248 * (grade of encephalopathy)

prothrombin time

0.0117 * (prothrombin time in seconds)

serum creatinine

0.0064 * (serum creatinine in µmol/L)

white blood cell count

0.045 * (WBC count as 10^9/L)

serum potassium

0 if potassium <= 5.5 mmol/L; 1.4623 if potassium > 5.5 mmol/L

 

X =

= SUM(points for all of the parameters) - 13.241

 

If the equation is rearranged:

 

probability of death =

= 1 / (1 + EXP((-1) * X))


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