Ioannou developed a model for predicting graft survival after liver transplantation in patients with end-stage liver disease secondary to HCV. The author is from the University of Washington in Seattle and the Veterans Affairs Puget Sound Health Care System
Parameters – Donor Characteristics:
(1) age of the donor in years
(2) ethnicity of the donor
(3) gender of the donor
(4) cold ischemia time in hours
Parameters – Recipient Characteristics:
(5) body mass index (BMI)
(6) age
(7) UNOS urgency category
(8) gender
(9) race and ethnicity
(10) diabetes
(11) MELD score
Donor Parameter |
Finding |
Points |
ethnicity |
white |
0 |
|
black |
0.02 |
|
Hispanic |
0.05 |
|
other |
0.11 |
gender |
male |
0 |
|
female |
0.08 |
cold ischemia time |
< 6.4 hours |
0 |
|
6.4 to 8.79 hours |
0.01 |
|
8.8 to 11.29 hours |
0.16 |
|
11.3 to 14.29 hours |
0.23 |
|
14.3 to 59.99 hours |
0.17 |
Recipient Parameter |
Finding |
Points |
body mass index |
15 to 24.99 |
0 |
|
25 to 29.99 |
-0.15 |
|
30 to 34.99 |
-0.20 |
|
35 to 39.99 |
-0.20 |
|
40 to 54.99 |
-0.11 |
age |
18 to 42.99 |
0 |
|
43 to 49.99 |
-0.06 |
|
50 to 56.99 |
-0.13 |
|
57 to 62.99 |
0.11 |
|
>= 63 |
0.20 |
UNOS urgency |
UNOS 1 |
0.23 |
|
other |
0 |
gender |
male |
0 |
|
female |
0.06 |
ethnicity |
white |
0 |
|
black |
0.25 |
|
Hispanic |
0 |
|
other |
-0.24 |
diabetes |
absent |
0 |
|
present |
0.18 |
MELD score |
6 to 10.7 |
0 |
|
10.8 to 14.2 |
0 |
|
14.3 to 19.3 |
0.08 |
|
19.4 to 26.9 |
0.20 |
|
>= 27 |
0.50 |
X =
= (0.000175 * (((age in years)^2) – 1444)) + SUM(points for the other parameters)
hazard ratio =
= EXP(X)
survival for the graft at time t) =
= (baseline survival at time t) ^ (hazard ratio)
Time Period |
Baseline Survival |
1 year |
0.86 |
2 years |
0.81 |
5 years |
0.69 |
Purpose: To evaluate a liver transplant recipient with HCV using the model of Ioannou.
Specialty: Gastroenterology, Surgery, general
Objective: other testing, severity, prognosis, stage
ICD-10: Z94.4, B18.2,