Ali et al reported a model for predicting unplanned readmission following panniculectomy. This can help to identify a patient who may benefit from more aggressive outpatient management. The authorsa re from the University of New Mexico in Albuquerque.
Patient selection: panniculectomy
Parameters:
(1) inpatient
(2) hypertension
(3) obesity
(4) functional status
(5) COPD
(6) wound classification (clean as 1, etc)
(7) ASA status
(8) liposuction
Parameter |
Finding |
Points |
inpatient |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
4 |
hypertension |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
4 |
obesity |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
9 |
functional status |
independent |
0 |
|
dependent |
9 |
COPD |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
9 |
wound class |
1 or 2 |
0 |
|
3 or 4 |
10 |
ASA status |
1 or 2 |
0 |
|
3 or 4 |
11 |
liposuction |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
-9 |
total score =
= SUM(points for all of the parameters)
Interpretation:
• minimum score: -9
• maximum score: 56
Total Score |
Risk Category |
Readmission Rate |
<= 5 |
low |
2.4% |
6 to 15 |
moderate |
6% |
>= 16 |
high |
13% |
Performance:
• The area under the ROC curve is 0.71.