Description

Aronson et al reported a model for identifying a febrile infant <= 60 days old who is at low risk for an invasive bacterial infection. This can help to identify an infant in Emergency Department who can be managed as an outpatient. The authors are from multiple institutions in the United States.


Patient selection: infant <= 60 days old in the Emergency Department with history of fever at home

 

Exclusions: ill-appearing or with complex chronic conditions

 

Outcome: invasive bacterial infection (bacteremia and/or bacterial meningitis)

 

Parameters:

(1) age in days

(2) highest temperature recorded in the Emergency Department in °C

(3) absolute neutrophil count per µL

(4) urinalysis

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

age in days

< 21 days

1

 

21 to 60 days

0

highest temperature

< 38.0°C

0

 

38.0 to 38.4°C

2

 

>= 38.5 °C

4

absolute neutrophil count

< 5,185 per µL

0

 

>= 5,185 per µL

2

urinalysis

normal

0

 

abnormal

3

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all 4 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

minimum score: 0

maximum score: 10

A score >= 2 was seen in all infants with meningitis.

 

Score

Risk IBI

0 or 1

low

2 or 3

moderate

4 to 10

high

 

Expressed as a clinical decision rule, an infant is at low risk of IBI if all of the following are true:

(1) temperature in ED < 38.0°C (fever by history only)

(2) absolute neutrophil count < 5,185 per µL

(3) normal urinalysis

(4) not ill-appearing

 

Performance:

The area under the ROC curve is 0.83.


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