de Araujo et al reported models for predicting mortality associated with visceral leishmaniasis.
The authors are from multiple institutes in Minas Gerais, Brazil.
Parameters:
(1) presence of other infections
(2) bleeding
(3) jaundice
(4) age in years
Parameter
Finding
Points
presence of other infections
no
0
yes
1
bleeding
jaundice
2
age in years
< 60 years
>= 60 years
where:
• Knowledge of the INR and platelet count might make bleeding more informative.
• An increased risk for bacterial infection may be related to neutropenia, malnutrition, or oterh immune disorder.
total score =
= SUM(points for all of the parameters)
Interpretation:
• minimum score: 0
• maximum score: 5
• A score of 0 is associated with a low risk of death from visceral leishmaniasis.
• Higher scores should be an indication for more aggressive management.
Performance:
• The area under the ROC cuve is 0.76.
• The sensitivity is 0.71 and specificity 0.74.
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Specialty: Infectious Diseases
