Model of Lin et al for Early Sepsis Prediction in an Older Adult

Patient selection: age >= 60 years

Parameters:

(1) modified early warning score (MEWS)

(2) white blood cell count in 10^9/L

(3) neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR)

(4) monocyte distribution width (MDW), presumably in IU

total score =

= SUM(points for all of the parameters)

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 5

• A score >= 3 had the highest Youden index.

Performance:

• The area under the ROC curve varied from 0.89 to 0.82 depending on age group.