Santoro et al developed a nomogram for predicting the likelihood of a local or systemic complication following surgery for a cancer of the oral cavity or oropharynx. These can help to identify a patient who may benefit from more aggressive management. The authors are from the European Institute of Oncology in Milan and San Matteo Hospital in Pavia, Italy.
Patient selection: cancer of oral cavity or oropharyngeal cancer
Outcome: local or systemic complications
Parameter:
(1) alcohol
(2) tumor site
(3) clinical T score and gender
(4) neck dissection
Parameter |
Finding |
Points |
alcohol |
no |
0 |
|
former |
46.3 |
|
current |
46.3 |
tumor site |
oral cavity |
0 |
|
oropharynx |
41.3 |
clinical T stage and gender |
cT0 to cT3 and female |
17.3 |
|
cT4 and female |
0 |
|
cT0 to cT3 and male |
20 |
|
cT4 and male |
100 |
neck dissection |
no |
0 |
|
unilateral or bilateral |
80.3 |
total score =
= SUM(points for all 4 parameters)
Interpretation:
• minimum score: 0
• maximum score: 268
• The greater the score the greater the risk of a local or systemic complication.
Total Score |
Percent Likelihood of a Postoperative Complication |
< 14 |
< 14% |
14 to 167 |
(0.00065 * ((points)^2)) + (0.2554 * (points)) + 9.585 |
167 to 268 |
(-0.001233 * ((points)^2)) + (0.767 * (points)) - 23.68 |
Performance:
• Area under the ROC curve 0.74.
Specialty: Anesthesiology