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Description

Chen et al reported several models for predicting thrombolysis in a stroke patient. The authors are from Soochow University.


NOTE: In addition to this score, the author also gives a logistic regression model and nomogram.

 

Patient selection: ischemic stroke

 

Parameters:

(1) age in years

(2) time of day to hospital (unrelated to weekend)

(3) NIHSS score

(4) great vessel involvement (not further specified)

(5) facial paralysis

(6) dizziness

(7) headache

(8) history of stroke

(9) percent neutrophils in differential count

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

age in years

<= 59 years

0

 

60 to 69 years

-1

 

70 to 79 years

-1

 

>= 80 years

-2

time of day

day (8 AM to 5 PM)

0

 

evening (5 PM to 8 AM)

2

NIHSS

< 4

0

 

>= 4

1

great vessel

no

0

 

yes

-2

facial paralysis

no

0

 

yes

1

dizziness

no

0

 

yes

-1

headache

no

0

 

yes

-3

history of stroke

no

0

 

yes

-2

percent neutrophils

< 50%

1

 

50 to 70%

0

 

> 70%

-1

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all of the parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: -11

• maximum score: 5

 

Total Score

Risk Category

Thrombolysis

<= -2

low

10-15%

-1 or 0

intermediate

28-30%

1 to 5

high

38%

 

Performance:

• The area under the ROC curves is 0.80 for the derivation and 0.75 for the validation cohort.


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