Kuo et al reported a nomogram for predicting pneumonia in a patient with cerebral palsy. This can help to identify a patient who may benefit from more aggressive management. The authors are from multiple institutions in Taiwan.
Patient selection: cerebral palsy
Parameters:
(1) sex
(2) pressure ulcer
(3) gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD)
(4) perinatal complications
(5) asthma
(6) age
(7) epilepsy
Parameter
Finding
Points
sex
female
0
male
1
pressure ulcer
no
0
yes
10
GERD
no
0
yes
3.4
perinatal complications
no
0
yes
2.2
asthma
no
0
yes
4
age
0 to 3.1 years
4.3
> 3.1 years
0
epilepsy
no
0
yes
5.6
total score =
= SUM(points for all of the parameters)
Interpretation:
• minimum score: 0
• maximum score: 30.5
value of X =
= (0.1513 * (score)) - 1.646
probability of pneumonia with 5+ days of hospitalization =
= 1 / (1 + EXP((-1) * X))
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