Description

Zheng et al reported a nomogram for predicting radiation-induced sinusitis in a patient being treated for nasopharyngeal carcinoma. The authors are from the General Hospital of Southern Theatre Command of PLA, Southern Medical University in Guangzhou.


Patient selection: nasopharyngeal carcinoma treated with radiation.

 

Parameters:

(1) time since radiation therapy

(2) TNM stage of the tumor

(3) current smoker

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

time since radiation

1 month

0

 

3 months

12.5

 

6 months

56.5

 

9 months

43.63

 

12 months

94.5

 

18 months

100

 

24 months

84

TNM stage

I

10.5

 

II

43.25

 

III

51.88

 

IV

0

smoker

no

0

 

yes

77.5

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all of the parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 229.4

 

value of X =

= (-0.00002533 * ((score)^2)) + (0.01671 * (score)) + 0.7139

 

risk of radiation-induced sinusitis =

= 1 / (1 + EXP((-1) * X))

 

Performance:

• The area under the ROC curve is 0.69.


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