Description

Cirasino et al studied factors that could be used to identify patients undergoing lung resection for lung cancer who need allogenic blood transfusion. A person likely to use blood perioperatively might benefit from measures to reduce the need for allogenic units such as autologous blood collection, erythropoietin, and/or hemodilution. The authors are from Milan and Pavia in Italy.


Thresholds for transfusion used in study:

(1) intraoperative hemoglobin < 10 g/dL

(2) postoperative hemoglobin < 8 g/dL

(3) other clinical factors (ischemia, etc.)

 

Parameters associated with transfusion as identified by logistic regression:

(1) type of surgery: limited vs extensive

(2) erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR) in mm/h

(3) age in years

 

Type of surgery (from Table 2, page 1229):

(1) limited resection:

(1a) atypical lung segmental or nodular resection

(1b) lobectomy

(1c) lobectomy with atypical lung segmental or nodular resection

(1d) bi-lobectomy

(2) extensive resection:

(2a) pneumonectomy

(2b) lobectomy with costal resection

(2c) lobectomy with costal and lung segmental resection

(2d) pneumonectomy with costal resection

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

type of surgery

limited resection

-2.44

 

extensive resection

2.44

ESR

<= 20 mm/h

-1.29

 

> 20 to 45 mm/h

-1.05

 

> 45 mm/h

2.35

age

<= 64 years

1.6

 

> 64 years

-1.6

Z score =

= SUM(points for all 3 parameters) – 0.99

 

where:

• (-0.99) is a constant.

 

Age

Surgery

ESR in mm/h

probability transfused

Z score

<= 64

extensive

> 45

100%

5.40

<= 64

extensive

> 20 – 45

88%

2.0

<= 64

extensive

<= 20

85%

1.76

<= 64

limited

> 45

62%

0.52

<= 64

limited

> 20 – 45

6%

-2.88

<= 64

limited

<= 20

4%

-3.12

> 64

extensive

> 45

90%

2.2

> 64

extensive

> 20 – 45

22%

-1.2

> 64

extensive

<= 20

19%

-1.44

> 64

limited

> 45

8%

-2.68

> 64

limited

> 20 – 45

1%

-6.08

> 64

limited

<= 20

0%

-6.32

probability of transfusion estimated from Figure 3, page 1232

 

probability of transfusion =

= 1 / (1 + EXP((-1) * (Z score))

 

The person most likely to need transfusion is an adult <= 64 who is having an extensive resection and who has a high ESR.


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