Description

Iannuzzi et al identified risk factors associated with unplanned readmission following thyroid or parathyroid surgery (cervical endocrine surgery). These can help to identify a patient who may benefit from more aggressive management. The authors are from the University of Rochester and Brigham and Women's Hospital.


 

Patient selection: thyroid or parathyroid surgery

 

Outcome: unplanned readmission within 30 days of surgery

 

Parameters:

(1) diagnosis

(2) serum albumin

(3) renal function

(4) ASA class

(5) duration of hospital stay in days

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

diagnosis

thyroid malignancy

1

 

other diagnosis

0

serum albumin

>= 3.5 g/dL

0

 

< 3.5 g/dL (hypoalbuminemia)

1

renal function

normal

0

 

insufficiency/failure

1

ASA class

1 to 2

0

 

3, 4 or 5

1

duration of hospital stay

<= 1 day

0

 

> 1 day

1

 

score =

= SUM(points for all 5 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maxium score: 5

• The higher the score the greater the risk for unplanned readmission.

 

Score

Risk Group

Percent Readmission

0

low risk

2% (OR 1)

1 or 2

intermediate risk

4% (OR 2.5)

3 or more

high risk

13% (OR 9.8)

 

Performance:

• The AUC (c-statistic) was 0.68.

 


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