Stebbing et al developed a prognostic index for patients with AIDS-associated Kaposi's sarcoma. This can help make decisions about therapy in these patients. The authors are from Chelsea and Westminster Hospital in London.
Time for use: when Kaposi's sarcoma is first diagnosed
Parameters:
(1) age of the patient in years
(2) CD4 count per µL
(3) Kaposi's sarcoma as the AIDS defining illness
(4) presence of another AIDS-associated illness at the same time
Parameter |
Finding |
Points |
---|---|---|
age of the patient |
< 50 years of age |
0 |
|
>= 50 years of age |
2 |
CD4 count per µL |
|
(-1) * MIN(7, INT((CD4 count) / 100)) |
Kaposi's as AIDS definer |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
-3 |
other AIDS illness |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
3 |
where:
• To achieve the minimal score of 0, the maximum points for CD4 count must be (-7).
total score =
= SUM(points for all 4 parameters) + 10
Interpretation:
• minimum score: 0
• maximum score: 15
• The higher the score the worse the prognosis.
Total Score |
Prognosis |
5 Year Survival |
---|---|---|
< 5 |
good |
78-95% |
5 - 10 |
fair |
60 - 80% |
> 10 |
poor |
50% |
from Figure 4 (range from both primary cohort and validation set)
Total Score |
5 Year |
---|---|
0 |
98% |
5 |
92% |
10 |
63% |
15 |
8% |
from Table 5, page 1500
If this data is analyzed in Minitab:
probability of 5 year survival if > 5 points =
= (-0.00486 * ((score)^2)) + (0.01334 * (score)) + 0.9787
Purpose: To evaluate a patient with AIDS and Kaposi's sarcoma using the prognostic score of Stebbing et al.
Specialty: Hematology Oncology, Surgery, general, Infectious Diseases
Objective: severity, prognosis, stage
ICD-10: C46,