Description

Cao et al reported a prognostic model for a patient with liposarcoma. This can help to identify a patient who may benefit from more aggressive or a novel therapy. The authors are from Xi'AnJiatong University in China.


Patient selection: liposarcoma

 

Parameters:

(1) age in years

(2) sex

(3) site

(4) histology type

(5) grade

(6) surgery

(7) radiation therapy

(8) chemotherapy

(9) tumor size in cm

(10) extension

(11) first malignant

(12) marital status

(13) SES

(14) AJCC stage

 

points for age =

= 0.90909 * (age)

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

sex

male

4.7

 

female

0

site

extremities

0

 

other

2.5

 

retroperitoneum

2.7

histologic type

well-differentiated

0

 

NOS

3.9

 

myxoid/round cell

5.7

 

de-differentiated

5.5

 

pleomorphic

7.6

 

mixed-type

12

grade

I

0

 

II

7.3

 

III

15.7

 

IV

18.7

surgery

yes

0

 

no

22.9

radiation therapy

yes

0

 

no

5.5

chemotherapy

yes

10.7

 

no

0

tumor size

<= 5 cm

0

 

5.01 to 10 cm

3

 

> 10 cm

8

extension

confined

0

 

localized

2.3

 

adjacent connective tissue

3.3

 

adjacent organ

12.5

 

further (distant)

16.1

first malignancy

yes

0

 

no

6.7

marital status

married

0

 

single

5.3

 

other

2

socioeconomic status

low

0

 

medium

2.3

 

high

6.3

AJCC stage

I

4.1

 

II

0

 

III

6.9

 

IV

25.1

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all of the parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 257.3

 

value of X =

= (-0.00041888 * ((score)^2)) + (0.026479 * (score)) + 2.5005

 

5-year overall survival =

= 1 / (1 + EXP((-1) * X))

 

Performance:

• The area under the ROC curve is 0.79.


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