A prognostic score developed by Conte et al can be used to predict mortality for elderly patients with community-acquired pneumonia.
Patient selection:
(1) age >= 65 years of age
(2) pneumonia is community (non-hospital) acquired
Parameters for score:
(1) age in years
(2) motor response
(3) serum creatinine
(4) comorbid conditions
(5) vital signs
Parameter |
Finding |
Points |
age in years |
>= 85 |
1 |
|
< 85 |
0 |
motor response |
impaired |
1 |
|
not impaired |
0 |
serum creatinine in mg/dL |
>= 1.5 mg/dL |
1 |
|
< 1.5 mg/dL |
0 |
comorbid condition |
present |
2 |
|
absent |
0 |
vital signs (temperature, heart rate, systolic blood pressure) |
one or more abnormal |
2 |
|
all normal |
0 |
where:
• impaired motor response = failure to exhibit a motor response to verbal stimuli
• comorbid conditions = acute or chronic leukemia, Hodgkin's or non-Hodgkin's lymphoma, multiple myeloma, any cancer with local or distant metastases, hepatic failure, cirrhosis, chemotherapy or radiotherapy 3-12 months prior to admission (within past year but not 2 months before admission), or a collagen vascular disease
• abnormal vital signs: temperature < 36.1°C, heart rate > 110 beats per minute, systolic blood pressure < 90 mm Hg
risk score =
= (points for age) + (points for motor response) + (points for creatinine) + (points for comorbid condition) + (points for vital signs)
Interpretation:
• minimum score: 0
• maximum score: 7
Risk Score |
Stage |
Risk |
Mortality |
0 |
1 |
low |
4% |
1 or 2 |
2 |
low-intermediate |
11% |
3 or 4 |
3 |
intermediate-high |
23% |
5, 6 or 7 |
4 |
high |
41% |
Other factors associated with hospital mortality (page 22):
(1) admission from skilled nursing facility rather than home or noninstitutional setting
(2) abnormal functional status (urinary incontinence, impaired physical mobility)
(3) abnormal consciousness
(4) respirations > 30 breaths per minute
(5) laboratory findings associated with dehydration, other than creatinine (BUN >= 20 mg/dL, serum sodium < 130 or > 145 mmol/L)
(6) laboratory findings associated with sepsis (WBC count < 4,000 or > 20,000 cells per microliter)
(7) glucose < 60 or > 200 mg/dL
Specialty: Infectious Diseases, Pulmonology
ICD-10: ,