Description

A prognostic score developed by Conte et al can be used to predict mortality for elderly patients with community-acquired pneumonia.


 

Patient selection:

(1) age >= 65 years of age

(2) pneumonia is community (non-hospital) acquired

 

Parameters for score:

(1) age in years

(2) motor response

(3) serum creatinine

(4) comorbid conditions

(5) vital signs

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

age in years

>= 85

1

 

< 85

0

motor response

impaired

1

 

not impaired

0

serum creatinine in mg/dL

>= 1.5 mg/dL

1

 

< 1.5 mg/dL

0

comorbid condition

present

2

 

absent

0

vital signs (temperature, heart rate, systolic blood pressure)

one or more abnormal

2

 

all normal

0

 

where:

• impaired motor response = failure to exhibit a motor response to verbal stimuli

• comorbid conditions = acute or chronic leukemia, Hodgkin's or non-Hodgkin's lymphoma, multiple myeloma, any cancer with local or distant metastases, hepatic failure, cirrhosis, chemotherapy or radiotherapy 3-12 months prior to admission (within past year but not 2 months before admission), or a collagen vascular disease

• abnormal vital signs: temperature < 36.1°C, heart rate > 110 beats per minute, systolic blood pressure < 90 mm Hg

 

risk score =

= (points for age) + (points for motor response) + (points for creatinine) + (points for comorbid condition) + (points for vital signs)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 7

 

Risk Score

Stage

Risk

Mortality

0

1

low

4%

1 or 2

2

low-intermediate

11%

3 or 4

3

intermediate-high

23%

5, 6 or 7

4

high

41%

 

Other factors associated with hospital mortality (page 22):

(1) admission from skilled nursing facility rather than home or noninstitutional setting

(2) abnormal functional status (urinary incontinence, impaired physical mobility)

(3) abnormal consciousness

(4) respirations > 30 breaths per minute

(5) laboratory findings associated with dehydration, other than creatinine (BUN >= 20 mg/dL, serum sodium < 130 or > 145 mmol/L)

(6) laboratory findings associated with sepsis (WBC count < 4,000 or > 20,000 cells per microliter)

(7) glucose < 60 or > 200 mg/dL

 


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