Description

Vicco et al reported prognostic factors for a hospitalized patient with alcoholic cirrhosis and ascites. These can help to identify a patient who may benefit from more aggressive management. The authors are from Hospital J.B. Iturraspe in Santa Fe, Argentina.


Patient selection: hospitalized patient with alcoholic cirrhosis and ascites

 

Complications:

(1) esophageal variceal bleeding

(2) spontaneous bacterial peritonitis

(3) sepsis

(4) hyponatremia

(5) hepatorenal syndrome

 

Prognostic factors affecting in-hospital mortality:

(1) intermediate or high risk by Child-Pugh grade (Grade B or C)

(2) elevated serum urea (> 42 mg/dL, odds ratio 14)

(3) elevated serum creatinine (> 1.28 mg/dL, odds ratio 2), indicative of acute renal failure (hepatorenal)

(4) elevated prothrombin time (> 17 seconds, normal control unspecified, odds ratio 2)

 

where:

Ascites and prolonged prothrombin time are both used to derive the Child-Pugh grade.

 

While variceal bleeding can result in an elevated serum urea, it was not associated with excess mortality by itself.


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