Description

Ziser et al identified risk factors associated with perioperative complications and long term mortality in patients with cirrhosis who underwent surgery. Most of the risk factors can be identified prior to surgery. The authors are from the Mayo Clinic.


 

Parameters:

(1) gender

(2) Child-Pugh score

(3) ascites

(4) cause of cirrhosis

(5) serum creatinine level

(6) chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD)

(7) preoperative infection

(8) preoperative upper GI bleeding

(9) ASA physical status rating

(10) degree of surgical severity

(11) surgery on the respiratory system

(12) intraoperative hypotension

Parameter

Finding

Points

gender

female

0

 

male

1

Child-Pugh score

0 to 6 (Class A)

0

 

7 to 12 (Class B or C)

1

ascites

absent

0

 

present

1

cause of cirrhosis (A)

primary biliary cirrhosis

0

 

not primary biliary cirrhosis

1

cause of cirrhosis (B)

not cryptogenic

0

 

cryptogenic

1

serum creatinine

normal

0

 

elevated (male > 1.2 mg/dL; female > 0.6 mg/dL)

1

COPD

absent

0

 

present

1

preoperative infection

absent

0

 

present

1

preoperative upper GI bleeding

absent

0

 

present

1

ASA physical status rating

1, 2 or 3

0

 

4 or 5

1

degree of surgical severity

low or moderate tissue injury

0

 

severe tissue injury

1

surgery on the respiratory system

no

0

 

yes

1

intraoperative hypotension

absent

0

 

present

1

 

score for perioperative complications =

= SUM(items 2, 3, 4A, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 12)

 

score for long term mortality =

= SUM(items 1, 2, 3, 4B, 5, 7, 9, 11)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum perioperative complication score: 10

• maximum long term mortality score: 8

 

Number of Risk Factors

Percent with Complications

0

2%

1

9%

2

15%

3

33%

4

63%

5

63%

6

74%

>= 7

100%

from Figure 1, page 48

 

Number of Risk Factors

1 Year Mortality Rate

5 Year Mortality Rate

0

2%

42%

1

3%

60%

2

24%

70%

3

35%

82%

4

58%

90%

5

72%

95%

6 or 7

85%

100%

from Figure 3, page 52

 


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