Kim et al reported a risk score for predicting delirium following surgical repair of a hip fracture. This can help to identify a patient who should be monitored more closely. The authors are from Columbia University in New York City and Hallym University in Seoul.
Patient selection: hip fracture, age >= 60 years
Parameters:
(1) preoperative delirium
(2) preoperative dementia
(3) age in years
(4) medical co-management (medical co-morbidity)
(5) ASA status
(6) functional status
(7) smoking
(8) SIRS, sepsis or septic shock
(9) preoperative use of a mobility aid
Parameter |
Finding |
Points |
preoperative delirium |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
8 |
preoperative dementia |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
3 |
age in years |
60 to 69 years |
0 |
|
70 to 79 years |
2 |
|
>= 80 years |
3 |
medical co-management |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
1 |
ASA status |
I or II |
0 |
|
III, IV or V |
1 |
functional status |
independent |
0 |
|
dependent |
1 |
smoking |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
1 |
SIRS, sepsis, septic shock |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
1 |
preop mobility aid |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
1 |
total score =
= SUM(points for all of the parameters)
Interpretation:
• minimum score: 0
• maximum score: 20
• The higher the score the greater the risk of delirium.
Score |
Percent Delirium |
0 |
4.5% |
1 |
5.8% |
2 |
7.5% |
3 |
9.6% |
4 |
12.3% |
5 |
15.6% |
6 |
19.6% |
7 |
24.3% |
8 |
30% |
9 |
36% |
10 |
42% |
11 |
49% |
12 |
56% |
13 |
63% |
14 |
69% |
15 |
74% |
16 |
79% |
17 |
83% |
18 |
87% |
19 |
90% |
20 |
92% |
Performance:
• The area under the ROC curve is 0.77.
Specialty: Anesthesiology, Surgery, general