Description

Terracciano et al developed risk scores for predicting surgical site infection, infections and sepsis in postoperative patients. The scores can help identify patients who may benefit from more aggressive monitoring and treatment following surgery. The authors are from Universita degli Studi di Napoli Federico II.


NOTE: The material has been translated from the Italian and may have suffered in the process.

 

Patients studied: 1,182 who underwent surgery (28 developed sepsis, 119 infection and 93 surgical wound infections)

 

Variables:

(1) bacterial contamination during surgery

(2) duration of surgery

(3) "colostasi" (see below)

(4) hypoalbuminemia

 

where:

• I could not find the value for serum albumin used by the authors to define hypoalbuminemia. Possible choices might be 3.2, 3.0, 2.8 or 2.5 g/dL. I use < 3.0 g/dL in the implementation.

• "Colostasi" was hard to translate from the Italian. According to the scholar Dr H. Germanuik, it could mean either cholestasis or bowel obstruction, depending on context. In light of the use of "incomplete" and "complete" (see below), I take it to mean bowel obstruction.

 

Endpoints:

(1) sepsis

(2) infection (includes UTI, bronchopneumonia, etc.)

(3) surgical wound infection with suppuration, with or without wound dehiscence

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

bacterial contamination observed during surgery

absent

0

 

probable

0.5

 

definite (for sepsis score)

1.5

 

definite (for infection score)

1.0

 

definite (for surgical wound score)

1.0

duration of surgery

<= 2 hours

0

 

> 2 hours (for sepsis score)

1.5

 

> 2 hours (for infection score)

1.0

 

> 2 hours (for surgical wound score)

0.5

bowel obstruction

absent

0

 

incomplete

1

 

complete

2

hypoalbuminemia

absent

0

 

present

1

 

risk score for sepsis =

= (points for bacterial contamination) + (points for duration) + (points for bowel obstruction)

 

risk score for infection =

= (points for bacterial contamination) + (points for duration) + (points for hypoalbuminemia)

 

risk score for surgical wound infection with or without dehiscence =

= (points for bacterial contamination) + (points for duration) + (points for hypoalbuminemia)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score (all 3): 0

• maximum sepsis score: 5.0

• maximum infection score: 3.0

• maximum surgical wound infection score: 2.5

• The higher the score, the greater the risk for the particular infectious complication.

 

Sepsis Risk Score

Risk Group

Probability

0.0 or 1.0

low

0 – 2%

1.5 or 2.5

moderate

2 – 10%

3.0 or 3.5

high

10 – 25%

4.0 or 5.0

very high

> 25%

 

 

Infection Risk Score

Risk Group

Probability

0 or 0.5

low

< 10%

1.0 or 1.5

moderate

10 – 25%

2.0 or 3.0

high

> 25%

 

 

Surgical Wound Score

Risk Group

Probability

0 or 0.5

low

< 10%

1.0 or 1.5

moderate

10 – 25%

2.0 or 2.5

high

> 25%

 

Limitations:

• The probability could be impacted by additional variables (preoperative antibiotics, intraoperative antibiotics, surgical skill, immune compromise, etc.), so the probability will differ between institutions.

• The patient diagnosis and operation mix would affect the prevalence of infection. My guess is that the patients were general surgical patients with mostly intra-abdominal procedures. This is based on the emphasis on bacterial contamination and bowel obstruction.


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