Pannucci et al developed a score for predicting the risk of venous thromboembolism after outpatient surgery. This can help to identify a patient who may benefit from more aggressive management. The authors are from the University of Michigan with data from the ACS-NSQIP database.
Patient selection: outpatient surgery
Outcome: 30-day risk for venous thromboembolism
Parameters:
(1) arthroscopic surgery
(2) current pregnancy
(3) active cancer
(4) non-great saphenous vein surgery
(5) saphenofemoral junction venous surgery
(6) age
(7) body mass index (BMI)
(8) duration of surgery
Parameter |
Finding |
Points |
arthroscopic surgery |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
6 |
current pregnancy |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
8 |
active cancer |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
5 |
non-great saphenous vein surgery |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
11 |
saphenofemoral junction venous surgery |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
10 |
age in years |
< 40 years |
0 |
|
40 to 59 years |
2 |
|
>= 60 years |
3 |
BMI |
< 40 kg per sq m |
0 |
|
>= 40 kg per square m |
2 |
duration of surgery |
< 120 minutes |
0 |
|
>= 120 minutes |
2 |
total score =
= SUM(points for all 8 parameter)
Interpretation:
• minimum score: 0
• maximum score: 47 (unlikely to occur)
• The higher the score the greater the risk of venous thromboembolism.
Score |
Risk |
30-Day VTE |
0 to 2 |
low |
0.1% |
3 to 5 |
moderate |
01 to 0.3% |
6 to 10 |
high |
0.3 to 0.5% |
>= 11 |
highest risk |
1.2% |
Performance:
• The area under the ROC curve was 0.76.
Specialty: Hematology Oncology, Surgery, general