Description

Pannucci et al developed a score for predicting the risk of venous thromboembolism after outpatient surgery. This can help to identify a patient who may benefit from more aggressive management. The authors are from the University of Michigan with data from the ACS-NSQIP database.


Patient selection: outpatient surgery

 

Outcome: 30-day risk for venous thromboembolism

 

Parameters:

(1) arthroscopic surgery

(2) current pregnancy

(3) active cancer

(4) non-great saphenous vein surgery

(5) saphenofemoral junction venous surgery

(6) age

(7) body mass index (BMI)

(8) duration of surgery

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

arthroscopic surgery

no

0

 

yes

6

current pregnancy

no

0

 

yes

8

active cancer

no

0

 

yes

5

non-great saphenous vein surgery

no

0

 

yes

11

saphenofemoral junction venous surgery

no

0

 

yes

10

age in years

< 40 years

0

 

40 to 59 years

2

 

>= 60 years

3

BMI

< 40 kg per sq m

0

 

>= 40 kg per square m

2

duration of surgery

< 120 minutes

0

 

>= 120 minutes

2

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all 8 parameter)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 47 (unlikely to occur)

• The higher the score the greater the risk of venous thromboembolism.

 

Score

Risk

30-Day VTE

0 to 2

low

0.1%

3 to 5

moderate

01 to 0.3%

6 to 10

high

0.3 to 0.5%

>= 11

highest risk

1.2%

 

Performance:

• The area under the ROC curve was 0.76.


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