Description

Aube et al identified patients with bacteremia who are at high risk for septic shock. A patient at high risk for septic shock may benefit from more aggressive management. The authors are from Hopital General in Dijon, France.


 

Parameters:

(1) age and gender

(2) serum creatinine

(3) prothrombin time

(4) interstitial pattern on chest X-ray

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

age and gender

female

0

 

male and <= 75 years

0

 

male and > 75 years

1

serum creatinine

<= 2.0 mg/dL

0

 

> 2.0 mg/dL

1

prothrombin time

>= 60%

0

 

< 60%

1

interstitial pattern on chest X-ray

none

0

 

<= 50%

0

 

> 50%

1

 

where:

• Reporting the prothrombin time in percent is done in Europe but not the US. The corresponding PT in seconds can be determined by diluting the sample with factor deficient plasma.

• Most of these findings reflect some type of organ dysfunction (interstitial pattern and CHF, decreased prothrombin time and coagulopathy).

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all 4 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum number of risk factors: 0

• maximum number of risk factors: 4

• The risk of septic shock increases with the number of risk factors.

 

Performance:

• The positive predictive value was 55% and the negative predictive value was 89%. 77% of patients were accurately classified.

 

Other significant factors associated with septic shock:

(1) WBC count > 20,000 per µL

 

Findings associated with an increased risk of death:

(1) body temperature was < 38°C

(2) bacteremia with Pseudomonas aeruginosa or Streptococcus pneumoniae

 


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