Description

Weber developed a model for predicting if a patient undergoing surgery for a head and neck cancer will require transfusion. The author is from the University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center.


TPRA = transfusion prediction and risk assessment model

 

Patient selection: age from 18 to 74 years

 

Parameters:

(1) stage of tumor

(2) type of surgery planned

(3) preoperative hemoglobin

 

No.

Tumor Stage

Surgery Planned

Preoperative Hemoglobin

Transfusion Rate

1

not T3/T4

no flap

normal hemoglobin

0.02

2

not T3/T4

no flap

below normal Hgb

0.09

3

not T3/T4

flap

normal hemoglobin

0.13

4

not T3/T4

flap

below normal Hgb

0.46

5

T3/T4

no flap

normal hemoglobin

0.04

6

T3/T4

no flap

below normal Hgb

0.18

7

T3/T4

flap

normal hemoglobin

0.25

8

T3/T4

flap

below normal Hgb

0.65

after Figure 2, Weber (1995), page 13

 

where:

• The lower limit for hemoglobin in the study was 14 g/dL for males and 12 g/dL for females.

• The lower limit for reference range for hemoglobin in g/dL by age (Tietz, page 314) are:

 

age

Male

Female

18 - 44 years

13.2

11.7

45 - 64 years

13.1

11.7

65 - 74 years

12.6

11.7

 

Preoperative Planning

 

No.

Transfusion Needs

1

transfusion unlikely (consider clot and hold)

2

perform a type and screen

3

perform a type and screen

4

expect transfusion; perform type and crossmatch

5

transfusion unlikely (consider clot and hold)

6

perform a type and screen

7

expect transfusion; perform type and crossmatch

8

expect transfusion; perform type and crossmatch

 

Prepare for Transfusion:

(1) Options: preoperative autologous blood donation and/or crossmatch

(2) If the preoperative hemoglobin is >= 11 g/dL, then autologous donation may be sufficient.

(3) If the preoperative hemoglobin is < 11 g/dL, then the patient may not be a candidate for autologous donation. A type and crossmatch is usually necessary.

 

Alternative Equation

 

Parameters:

(1) preoperative hemoglobin

(2) cancer T stage

(3) flap used or not

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

preoperative hemoglobin

normal or above

0

 

below normal

1

cancer stage

T1 or T2

0

 

T3 or T4

1

flap

not used

0

 

used

1

 

X =

= (1.71 * (points for hemoglobin)) + (0.775 * (points for stage)) + (2.12 * (points for flap)) – 3.909

 

probability of transfusion =

= 1 / (1 + EXP((-1) * X))

 

If the risk of transfusion is low, then no blood bank orders are indicated.

If the risk of transfusion is 5 to 19%, then a type and screen is indicated.

If the risk of transfusion is >= 20% then blood should be available (either type and crossmatch or preoperative autologous blood donation).


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